Disturbance 1 could become Cat 1 hurricane before passing VI- DDM
![The Department of Disaster Management says the current forecast models have Disturbance 1/Invest 92 L passing very close to the [British] Virgin Islands around Friday, July 31, 2020. Photo: VINO/DDM](https://www.virginislandsnewsonline.com/cache/images/800x_2_20190827_161553_03.jpg)
In addition, current forecast models have this system passing very close to the [British] Virgin Islands around Friday, July 31, 2020.
At 8:00AM Disturbance 1, according to DDM, was located near 11 degrees north, 36 degrees west, or about 1958 miles east southeast of the Virgin Islands.
The system is moving to the west near 20 mph and this is expected to take the system into the northern Windward or the Leeward Islands late Wednesday or on Thursday.
System could pass close to VI- DDM
While the system remains somewhat disorganised, there does appear to be a broad low level circulation present with this disturbance. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat favourable for development. In addition, all models forecast development. Forecasters have indicated there is a 90 percent chance of tropical development.
"Presently the current forecast track has the system passing very close to the Virgin Islands; however, the DDM will continue to monitor and provide updates of any changes."
Persons at home and abroad are encouraged to download the DDM’s Alert app in the Apple App store or Google Play store to receive updates of any hazards affecting the Territory.
You can also visit the DDM’s webpage at www.bviddm.comand subscribe for updates or like us on Facebook at www.facebook.com/bvi.ddm.
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