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Tropical Disturbance 37 & 38 in Atlantic, latter strengthening

September 6th, 2011 | RSS 2.0 | Email This Article Email This Article |
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File- The "L" on the satellite imagery denotes a spin center and not a formed tropical depression. Image: Hurricane Message Board

ROAD TOWN, Tortola, VI- The Department for Disaster Management (DDM) has reported via press release that Tropical Disturbances 37 and 38 have formed in the Atlantic Ocean and that the latter is strengthening.

Tropical Disturbance 37

Tropical Disturbance 37 is located near 14.3N/51W or 500 miles east of the Leeward Islands. The Disturbance is moving west at 15mph.

Satellite images are showing signs showers and thunderstorms some of which can be heavy at times. The National Hurricane Centre has given this disturbance a 10% of development as of this forecast. The disturbance has the potential to affect the territory beginning tomorrow.

Tropical Disturbance 38

Current Location: 11.6N/35.1W

Geographic Reference: 750 miles west-southwest of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands

Movement: West-northwest at 14 mph

Maximum Winds: 30 mph gusting to 40 mph

Organizational Trend: Unchanged

Chance of Development into Tropical Storm Within 48 Hours: 75 percent

Chance of Development into Tropical Storm Beyond 48 Hours: 90 percent

Forecast Track Confidence: Average due to good model consensus and well-defined steering flow.

Forecast: Forecasters expect a steady west to west-northwest track over the next several days in the well-defined steering flow south of the Bermuda-Azores High. On this track, the center of this system could be near the northern Leeward Islands by midday Sunday.

Conditions favor steady development over the next several days. There is a high chance that this system will become the next tropical depression and then Tropical Storm Maria. By the time it reaches the Leeward Islands, it could be a strong tropical storm, or even hurricane.

Expected Impacts on Land:

Leeward Islands: By Saturday night to early Sunday morning the first squalls could be reaching the islands.

The Department of Disaster Management is currently monitoring the situation and will provide updates accordingly. Residents are reminded that we are in the peak of the Hurricane Season and all preparations should be made. Please visit the DDM website at www.bviddm.com and subscribe to our notification link for further updates.

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